Still Rock and Roll to me

I’ve already mentioned in my prior post “The Greatest Recession” the importance of Richard Koo’s work on the balance sheet recession. Indeed, we are lucky to have this guide as we recognize the consequence, significance, and inevitable results of putting our fiscal laxity into hyperdrive. This post is not intended to harbinger gloom and pessimism, the world will continue regardless, but these are obvious vulnerabilities that did not have to metastasize – and they ought […]

The State of the Economy

On the News Front Early in the trading session this past Friday (March 22nd) the 3-month Treasury bill yield & the 10-Year Treasury Bond yield inverted.  As of this writing, the 3-month Treasury yield & the 10-yr yield are sitting at 2.455% and 2.442% respectively.  Subsequently, this inversion took center-stage on the news outlets for the day. The ‘big deal’ associated with the inversion of the yield curve is that it has been a recurrence […]

Lagging & Leading Economic Indicators

Throughout this post I’ll introduce some of these indicators & share my thoughts on others. While this list doesn’t encompass every leading or lagging indicator, it’ll highlight a bunch of ones I’ve ran across over the past few years. Also to note, I typically review the release of many of the reports related to these indicators via Econoday. Economic Leading Indicators: Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) – Reported monthly based off data collected from purchasing executives from […]